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Overestimating HIV infection：The construction and accuracy of subjective probabilities of HIV infection in rural Malawi
accuracy of perceived HIV status AIDS/HIV perceived risk Sub-Saharan Africa
2009/2/11
In the absence of HIV testing, how do rural Malawians assess their HIV status? In this paper, we use a unique dataset that includes respondents’ HIV status as well as their subjective likelihood of HI...
Subjective Probabilities as Basis for Scientific Reasoning?
Scientific Reasoning Subjective Probabilities
2008/4/21
Bayesianism is the position that scientific reasoning is probabilistic and that probabilities are adequately interpreted as an agent’s actual subjective degrees of belief, measured by her betting beha...